Wednesday, November 11, 2015

November Oscar Predictions

Is The Martian bound for more than a few nominations?

Not much has changed since last month's predictions, but the awards season is upon us. The Martian has done very well at the box office, and word of mouth is solid. It could potentially be Ridley Scott's welcome back to the Oscars. The Hateful Eight, JoyThe Revenant, and (possibly) The Big Short remain the big question marks, while early contenders like Carol and The Danish Girl seem to be destined for acting and below-the-line recognition only. Meanwhile, the rest of the field is becoming more solidified, but I wonder what will happen with Inside Out. Check out my up-to-date predictions below.

BEST PICTURE:
Bridge of Spies
Brooklyn
The Hateful Eight
Inside Out
Joy
The Martian
The Revenant
Room
Spotlight
Steve Jobs

Changes: Replaced Carol and The Danish Girl with The Hateful Eight and The Martian

BEST DIRECTOR:
Lenny Abrahamson, Room
Alejandro González Iñárritu, The Revenant
Thomas McCarthy, Spotlight
Ridley Scott, The Martian
Steven Spielberg, Bridge of Spies

Changes: Replaced Boyle and Hooper with Abrahamson and Scott

BEST ACTOR:
Johnny Depp, Black Mass
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs
Tom Hanks, Bridge of Spies
Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl

Changes: Replaced Caine with Hanks

BEST ACTRESS:
Cate Blanchett, Carol
Brie Larson, Room
Jennifer Lawrence, Joy
Carey Mulligan, Suffragette
Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn

Changes: None

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Benicio Del Toro, Sicario
Tom Hardy, The Revenant
Michael Keaton, Spotlight
Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight
Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies

Changes: Replaced Elba with Ruffalo

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
Jane Fonda, Youth
Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight
Rooney Mara, Carol
Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs

Changes: None

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
Brooklyn
Carol
The Revenant
Room
Steve Jobs

Changes: Replaced The Danish Girl with Carol

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
Bridge of Spies
The Hateful Eight
Inside Out
Joy
Spotlight

Changes: None

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN:
Brooklyn
Carol
Crimson Peak
The Revenant
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Changes: Replaced The Danish Girl with Crimson Peak

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY:
The Hateful Eight
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Sicario

Changes: Replaced Bridge of Spies and Carol with The Hateful Eight and The Martian

BEST COSTUME DESIGN:
Brooklyn
Carol
Cinderella
The Danish Girl
Far from the Madding Crowd

Changes: None

BEST FILM EDITING:
Bridge of Spies
The Martian
The Revenant
Spotlight
Steve Jobs

Changes: Replaced Mad Max: Fury Road with The Martian

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE:
Bridge of Spies
The Danish Girl
The Hateful Eight
Inside Out
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Changes: Replaced Carol with The Hateful Eight

BEST ORIGINAL SONG:
"Cold One" from Ricki and the Flash
"One Kind of Love" from Love & Mercy
"See You Again" from Furious 7
"So Long" from Concussion
"Till It Happens to You" from The Hunting Ground

Changes: Replaced He Named Me Malala, Southpaw and Spectre with Concussion, Furious 7 and Love & Mercy

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING:
The Danish Girl
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant

Changes: None

BEST SOUND MIXING:
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Spectre
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Changes: None

BEST SOUND EDITING:
Everest
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
Spectre
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Changes: Replaced The Revenant with Everest

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS:
Jurassic World
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
The Walk

Changes: None

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM:
Anomalisa
The Good Dinosaur
Inside Out
Kahlil Gibran's The Prophet
Shaun the Sheep Movie

Changes: None


BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE FILM:
Amy
Cartel Land
Listen to Me Marlon
The Look of Silence
Where to Invade Next

Changes: Replaced The Hunting Ground and Stray Dog with Listen to Me Marlon and Where to Invade Next


BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM:
The Club (Chile)
Labyrinth of Lies (Germany)
Mustang (France)
Son of Saul (Hungary)
Viva (Ireland)

Changes: None

8 comments:

  1. Nice work. I've seen a few Oscar pundits on Twitter (Scott Feinberg for one) saying that Ridley Scott is the frontrunner for Best Director. I liked the Martian, but that surprises me. What do you think?

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    1. Thanks! I'd say Scott could very well get a nomination, but I wouldn't call him the frontrunner at all. Though, maybe Bridge of Spies will be seen as another Lincoln, and The Martian is this year's Argo. (Assuming that Bridge of Spies has a slight lead in the race right now.)

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  2. I've read in a few places that there is a building groundswell of support for Charlotte Rampling to FINALLY score a nod for her work in 45 Years. Hope that it happens, I can't see her winning but a nomination to at least acknowledge her awesomeness would be wonderful.

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    Replies
    1. Oh, I'd LOVE for her to be nominated! Maybe she'll take Mulligan's spot.

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  3. I've seen 45 Years and the performances are strong, so like Joel in the comments,I could well see it achieve a nom for Charlotte Rampling.
    The line-up for foreign language film usually has a must-see film, this year I've not heard of any of them /: Which of the five do you think has the most potential to connect with audiences? I liked Tobias Lindholm's "A War" and hope it scores a nom in that category.

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    Replies
    1. It would be great to see Rampling get a nomination, but I haven't seen 45 Years yet.

      While Son of Saul is supposed to be excellent, I've also heard great things about Mustang.

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  4. As seen on your predictions and many other I've seen, Sicario isn't even in the Best Picture discussion, which to me is insane. It's such a brilliant film!

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    Replies
    1. Oh, I agree. It totally should be in the discussion, but I don't see it getting in Best Picture at all, unfortunately.

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