2014 CinSpec Awards Predictions Results

I couldn't even predict my own choices very well.

A year ago I tried to predict my 2014 CinSpec Awards nominees and winners (*). Let's see how poorly I did.

Note: I expected films like Mommy (which I still haven't seen) and Two Days, One Night would be 2015 releases, so they didn't factor into my predictions. Also, some of these films got bumped to 2015.

BEST PICTURE:

Boyhood*

Inherent Vice

Knight of Cups

Tom at the Farm

Under the Skin

How I did: 1/5 (predicted Inherent Vice)

BEST DIRECTOR:

Paul Thomas Anderson, Inherent Vice

Wes Anderson, The Grand Budapest Hotel

Xavier Dolan, Tom at the Farm

Jonathan Glazer, Under the Skin

Richard Linklater, Boyhood*

How I did: 1/5 (predicted Glazer)

BEST ACTOR:

Gael García Bernal, Rosewater*

Jude Law, Dom Hemingway

James McAvoy, Filth

Bill Murray, St. Vincent De Van Nuys

Joaquin Phoenix, Inherent Vice

How I did: 0/5

BEST ACTRESS:

Jessica Chastain, Miss Julie*

Charlotte Gainsbourg, Nymphomaniac

Scarlett Johansson, Under the Skin

Keira Knightley, Laggies

Emmanuelle Seigner, Venus in Fur

How I did: 1/5 (predicted Knightley, but called the wrong movie for Chastain)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:

Josh Brolin, Inherent Vice

Joel Edgerton, Jane Got a Gun

Ethan Hawke, Boyhood

Philip Seymour Hoffman, A Most Wanted Man*

Ben Mendelsohn, Starred Up

How I did: 2/5 (predicted Brolin and Mendelsohn, but Hoffman was a lead)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:

Patricia Arquette, Boyhood

Marion Cotillard, Blood Ties

Imogen Poots, Knight of Cups*

Uma Thurman, Nymphomaniac

Reese Witherspoon, Inherent Vice

How I did: 1/5 (predicted Thurman)

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:

Foxcatcher

Gone Girl

Inherent Vice*

A Most Wanted Man

Under the Skin

How I did: 2/5 (predicted Inherent Vice and A Most Wanted Man)

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:

Birdman

Calvary

Clouds of Sils Maria

Starred Up

Tom at the Farm*

How I did: 2/5 (predicted Birdman and Calvary, but Tom at the Farm was adapted)

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN:

Beauty and the Beast

The Grand Budapest Hotel*

The Immigrant

Inherent Vice

Mr. Turner

How I did: 2/5 (predicted The Grand Budapest Hotel and Mr. Turner)

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY:

Knight of Cups

Lost River
Night Moves

Tom at the Farm

Under the Skin*

How I did: 1/5 (predicted Under the Skin)

BEST COSTUME DESIGN:

Beauty and the Beast*

Grace of Monaco

The Grand Budapest Hotel

Inherent Vice

Magic in the Moonlight

How I did: 2/5 (predicted The Grand Budapest Hotel and Inherent Vice)

BEST FILM EDITING:

Boyhood*

The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby

Interstellar

Knight of Cups

Locke

How I did: 1/5 (predicted Locke)

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE:

The Grand Budapest Hotel

Inherent Vice

Interstellar*

The Monuments Men

Unbroken

How I did: 1/5 (predicted Interstellar)

BEST ORIGINAL SONG:

Begin Again*

Into the Woods

The LEGO Movie

Muppets Most Wanted

Winter's Tale

How I did: 1/5 (predicted Begin Again)

BEST MAKEUP:

Foxcatcher*

Maleficent

Sin City: A Dame to Kill For

How I did: 0/3

BEST SOUND (MIXING AND EDITING):

Black Sea

Fury

Metro Manila

Noah*

The Rover

How I did: 2/5 (predicted Fury and Noah)

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS:

Godzilla

The Hobbit: There and Back Again

Interstellar*

Jupiter Ascending

Transcendence

How I did: 2/5 (predicted The Hobbit and Interstellar)

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM:

The Boxtrolls

How to Train Your Dragon 2

The LEGO Movie*

How I did: 3/5 (predicted all 3, but had 5 nominees)

Overall (nominations): 25/88, or 28.4% (Ouch.)

Overall (wins): 6/18*, or 33.3% (Not much better.)

*including Hoffman, though he was in the wrong category.

Note: I did better here than with my early Oscar predictions (nominees - 27.7%, wins - 5%), though.

Watch out for my 2015 CinSpec predictions soon!