Friday, December 30, 2016

December Oscar Predictions

La La Land is coming for a slew of nominations.

Since last month, the SAG and Golden Globe nominations have been announced, as well as the Critics' Choice Awards winners. It's hard to tell how Silence will fare at the moment, and I expect we might get a couple of surprises in the acting categories on Oscar nomination morning. But BAFTA and more guilds could shed some light on these things. My next predictions in a few weeks will be my final ones. In the meantime, check out my current ones below.

BEST PICTURE:
Fences
Hacksaw Ridge
Hidden Figures
La La Land
Lion
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight
Silence

Changes: Replaced Florence Foster Jenkins and Jackie with Hacksaw Ridge (going with 8 noms now)

BEST DIRECTOR:
Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Mel Gibson, Hacksaw Ridge
Barry Jenkins, Moonlight
Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea
Martin Scorsese, Silence

Changes: Replaced Washington with Gibson

BEST ACTOR:
Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge
Ryan Gosling, La La Land
Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic
Denzel Washington, Fences

Changes: Replaced Hanks with Mortensen; switched Garfield films

BEST ACTRESS:
Amy Adams, Arrival
Annette Bening, 20th Century Women
Natalie Portman, Jackie
Emma Stone, La La Land
Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins

Changes: Replaced Negga with Adams

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
Hugh Grant, Florence Foster Jenkins
Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea
Dev Patel, Lion

Changes: Replaced Neeson and Williamson with Bridges and Patel

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
Viola Davis, Fences
Naomie Harris, Moonlight
Nicole Kidman, Lion
Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures
Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea

Changes: Replaced Gerwig with Spencer

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
Arrival
Fences
Lion
Moonlight
Silence

Changes: Replaced Hidden Figures with Moonlight (from Original)

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
Hell or High Water
La La Land
The Lobster
Manchester by the Sea
20th Century Women

Changes: Replaced Moonlight with The Lobster

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN:
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
La La Land
Live By Night
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
Silence

Changes: Replaced Rules Don't Apply with Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY:
Hail, Caesar!
Jackie
La La Land
Live By Night
Silence

Changes: None

BEST COSTUME DESIGN:
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Jackie
La La Land
Live By Night
Silence

Changes: None

BEST FILM EDITING:
Arrival
La La Land
Moonlight
Silence
Sully

Changes: Replaced Lion with Arrival

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE:
The BFG
Jackie
The Jungle Book
La La Land
Lion

Changes: Replaced Florence Foster Jenkins and Silence (not eligible) with Jackie and Lion

BEST ORIGINAL SONG:
"Audition (The Fools Who Dream)" from La La Land
"City of Stars" from La La Land
"Drive It Like You Stole It" from Sing Street
"How Far I'll Go" from Moana
"Runnin'" from Hidden Figures

Changes: Switched Sing Street songs

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING:
Deadpool
A Man Called Ove
Star Trek Beyond

Changes: Replaced Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them and Rogue One: A Star Wars Story with Deadpool and A Man Called Ove

BEST SOUND MIXING:
Deepwater Horizon
Hacksaw Ridge
La La Land
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
Sully

Changes: Replaced Silence with Sully

BEST SOUND EDITING:
Deepwater Horizon
Hacksaw Ridge
The Jungle Book
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
Sully

Changes: None

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS:
Arrival
Doctor Strange
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
The Jungle Book
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Changes: Replaced Passengers with Doctor Strange

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM:
Kubo and the Two Strings
Miss Hokusai
Moana
The Red Turtle
Zootopia

Changes: None

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM:
Land of Mine (Denmark)
A Man Called Ove (Sweden)
Paradise (Russia)
The Salesman (Iran)
Toni Erdmann (Germany)

Changes: Replaced Elle (France), The Idol (Palestine), and Neruda (Chile) with A Man Called Ove (Sweden), Paradise (Russia), and The Salesman (Iran)

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