Sunday, November 24, 2013

November Oscar Predictions

The Wolf of Wall Street hangs around.

Since my last predictions, The Monuments Men moved to 2014 and The Wolf of Wall Street stayed in 2013. Not much else has changed apart from that. I still see it as a three-horse race between Gravity12 Years a Slave and Saving Mr. Banks, with the former two being out in front. Still, American Hustle and The Wolf of Wall Street could make some noise, and Captain Phillips will likely garner a lot of nominations.

Best Picture:
American Hustle
Captain Phillips
Gravity
Inside Llewyn Davis
Lee Daniels' The Butler
Nebraska
Philomena
Saving Mr. Banks
12 Years a Slave
The Wolf of Wall Street

Changes: Replaced All is Lost and The Monuments Men with Philomena and The Wolf of Wall Street

Best Director:
Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity
Paul Greengrass, Captain Phillips
Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave
David O. Russell, American Hustle
Martin Scorsese, The Wolf of Wall Street

Changes: Replaced Clooney with Scorsese

Best Actor:
Bruce Dern, Nebraska
Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave
Tom Hanks, Captain Phillips
Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club
Robert Redford, All is Lost

Changes: None

Best Actress:
Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
Sandra Bullock, Gravity
Judi Dench, Philomena
Meryl Streep, August: Osage County
Emma Thompson, Saving Mr. Banks

Changes: None

Best Supporting Actor:
Barkhad Abdi, Captain Phillips
Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave
James Gandolfini, Enough Said
Tom Hanks, Saving Mr. Banks
Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club 

Changes: Replaced Brühl and Cooper with Abdi and Gandolfini

Best Supporting Actress:
Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
Lupita Nyong'o, 12 Years a Slave
Octavia Spencer, Fruitvale Station
June Squibb, Nebraska
Oprah Winfrey, Lee Daniels' The Butler

Changes: Replaced Roberts with Spencer

Best Adapted Screenplay:
August: Osage County
Before Midnight
Captain Phillips
12 Years a Slave
The Wolf of Wall Street

Changes: Replaced The Monuments Men with The Wolf of Wall Street

Best Original Screenplay:
American Hustle
Blue Jasmine
Her
Inside Llewyn Davis
Nebraska

Changes: None

Best Production Design:
The Great Gatsby
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Oz the Great and Powerful
Saving Mr. Banks
12 Years a Slave

Changes: Replaced The Monuments Men with Oz the Great and Powerful

Best Cinematography:
Captain Phillips
Gravity
Inside Llewyn Davis
Prisoners
12 Years a Slave

Changes: None

Best Costume Design:
American Hustle
The Great Gatsby
The Invisible Woman
Oz the Great and Powerful
12 Years a Slave

Changes: Replaced The Monuments Men and Saving Mr. Banks with The Invisible Woman and Oz the Great and Powerful

Best Film Editing:
American Hustle
Captain Phillips
Gravity
12 Years a Slave
The Wolf of Wall Street

Changes: Replaced The Monuments Men with The Wolf of Wall Street

Best Original Score:
The Book Thief
Gravity
Philomena
Saving Mr. Banks
12 Years a Slave

Changes: Replaced The Monuments Men with Philomena

Best Original Song:
Frozen
The Great Gatsby
Her
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Lee Daniels' The Butler

Changes: Replaced Inside Llewyn Davis and Out of the Furnace with Her and The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug

Best Makeup and Hairstyling:
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Lee Daniels' The Butler
Rush

Changes: None

Best Sound Mixing:
All is Lost
Captain Phillips
Gravity
Inside Llewyn Davis
Rush

Changes: None

Best Sound Editing:
All is Lost
Captain Phillips
Gravity
Lone Survivor
Rush

Changes: Replaced Pacific Rim with Lone Survivor

Best Visual Effects:
Gravity
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Iron Man 3
Pacific Rim
The Secret Life of Walter Mitty

Changes: None

Best Animated Feature Film: 
The Croods
Ernest & Celestine
Frozen
Monsters University
The Wind Rises

Changes: None

Best Foreign Language Film:
Child's Pose (Romania)
Gabrielle (Canada)
The Hunt (Denmark)
The Past (Iran)
Wadjda (Saudi Arabia)

Changes: None

6 comments:

  1. Agree the Gravity score should be nominated. Academy usually give Scorsese pictures lots of noms, so you could be on to something there.

    I'm dying to know what the 5 song titles are for Original Song, do you know any of them yet?

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    1. Hey, Chris! I'd say the nominees are: "Young and Beautiful" (Gatsby), "I See Fire" (The Hobbit), "Let It Go" (Frozen), "The Moon Song" (Her), and "You and I Ain't Nothing No More" (The Butler). However, "Over the Love" could get in if "Young and Beautiful" is ineligible (doesn't look like that's the case), and The Butler also has "In the Middle of the Night" in the mix. Maybe even "So You Know What It's Like" from Short Term 12 gets in.

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  2. I think your predictions are pretty spot-on, Josh! I'm glad to say that I've seen four of the Best Picture list you've got here, and will be seeing four more in December! :D

    Boy it'll be awesome to see Barkhad Abdi getting a nod, he deserved it! I kinda doubt it though.

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    1. Thanks, Ruth! I've seen 4 as well, so hopefully I can see the remaining contenders next month. :)

      I think that slot is between him and Daniel Bruhl for Rush, but it could go to someone I'm overlooking.

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  3. I refused to look at your predictions until I got mine done and posted, so I'm really happy to see we are BOTH predicting Gandolfini and Abdi, as I thought I was the only one ballsy enough to predict both. Let's hope it happens!!!

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    Replies
    1. That'd be great, but I can see Abdi missing. Maybe even Gandolfini, though his slot seems more secure.

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