Tuesday, January 20, 2015

Early Oscar Predictions Results

"You'll do better next year, my dear."

Since I first predicted the Oscar nominations nine months ago, I wanted to see how wrong I was, and I was VERY wrong. I did better in the two previous years, especially in the 2012 race. Here are my original predictions and how I did.

BEST PICTURE:
Big Eyes
Birdman
Foxcatcher
Gone Girl
Inherent Vice
Interstellar
Into the Woods
Magic in the Moonlight
Trash
Unbroken

Results: Only Birdman was nominated. (1/8)

*Note: I'm not counting out of 10, since the final tally was 8 films.*

BEST DIRECTOR:
Paul Thomas Anderson, Inherent Vice
David Fincher, Gone Girl
Rob Marshall, Into the Woods
Bennett Miller, Foxcatcher
Christopher Nolan, Interstellar

Results: Only Miller was nominated. (1/5)

BEST ACTOR:
Ben Affleck, Gone Girl
Steve Carell, Foxcatcher
Michael Keaton, Birdman
Jack O'Connell, Unbroken
Joaquin Phoenix, Inherent Vice

Results: Carell and Keaton were nominated. (2/5)

BEST ACTRESS:
Amy Adams, Big Eyes
Berenice Bejo, The Search
Rosamund Pike, Gone Girl
Michelle Williams, Suite Fran├žaise
Reese Witherspoon, Wild

Results: Pike and Witherspoon were nominated. (2/5)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Josh Brolin, Inherent Vice
Philip Seymour Hoffman, A Most Wanted Man
Mark Ruffalo, Foxcatcher
Channing Tatum, Foxcatcher
Christoph Waltz, Big Eyes

Results: Only Ruffalo was nominated. (1/5)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
Viola Davis, Get On Up
Marcia Gay Harden, Magic in the Moonlight
Anna Kendrick, Into the Woods
Kristin Scott Thomas, Suite Fran├žaise
Meryl Streep, Into the Woods

Results: Only Streep was nominated. (1/5)

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
Gone Girl
Inherent Vice
Into the Woods
Trash
Unbroken

Results: Only Inherent Vice was nominated. (1/5)

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
Big Eyes
Birdman
Foxcatcher
Interstellar
Magic in the Moonlight

Results: Birdman and Foxcatcher were nominated. (2/5)

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN:
Exodus: Gods and Kings
The Grand Budapest Hotel
Inherent Vice
Interstellar
Into the Woods

Results: The Grand Budapest Hotel, Interstellar, and Into the Woods were nominated. (3/5)

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY:
Gone Girl
The Immigrant
Interstellar
Into the Woods
Unbroken

Results: Only Unbroken was nominated. (1/5)

BEST COSTUME DESIGN:
Exodus: Gods and Kings
Grace of Monaco
Into the Woods
Jersey Boys
Magic in the Moonlight

Results: Only Into the Woods was nominated. (1/5)

BEST FILM EDITING:
Foxcatcher
Gone Girl
Inherent Vice
Interstellar
Into the Woods

Results: None were nominated. (0/5)

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE:
Exodus: Gods and Kings
Gone Girl
Inherent Vice
Interstellar
Unbroken

Results: Only Interstellar was nominated. (1/5)

BEST ORIGINAL SONG:
Begin Again
Into the Woods
The LEGO Movie
Muppets Most Wanted
Unbroken

Results: Begin Again and The LEGO Movie were nominated. (2/5)

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING:
Foxcatcher
Into the Woods
Maleficent

Results: Only Foxcatcher was nominated. (1/3)

BEST SOUND MIXING:
Fury
Godzilla
The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies
Interstellar
Into the Woods

Results: Only Interstellar was nominated. (1/5)

BEST SOUND EDITING:
Fury
Godzilla
The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies
Interstellar
Tranformers: Age of Extinction

Results: The Hobbit and Interstellar were nominated. (2/5)

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS:
Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
Godzilla
The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies
Interstellar
Noah

Results: Dawn of the Planet of the Apes and Interstellar were nominated. (2/5)

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM:
The Boxtrolls
How to Train Your Dragon 2
The LEGO Movie

Results: The Boxtrolls and How to Train Your Dragon 2 were nominated. (3/5)

*Note: If I'd predicted 5 nominees, I would've predicted Big Hero 6, but I would've missed one of the GKIDS films.*

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM:
Canada
China
France
Germany
Spain

Results: None of these countries were nominated. (0/5)

Overall results: 28/101, or 27.7% (Yikes!)

4 comments:

  1. This is such an interesting read! Crazy how time and Oscar politics change the game. And the fact that movies turn out to be good or bad haha.

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    Replies
    1. Thanks man! Yeah, it's always a gamble this early, and I love it. Doing April predictions again this year.

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