Monday, February 18, 2013

Early Oscar Predictions Results

In June 2012, I predicted 7 Oscar nods for The Master.

For the past few years, I've predicted the Oscar nominations several months before the nominees are announced. I didn't publish these June 2012 predictions in a post, but, thankfully, I found them in my page drafts. So, here's how I did predicting the 85th Academy Award nominees (original predictions included) seven months ahead of time.

Best Picture:
--Anna Karenina

--Argo
--The Dark Knight Rises
--Django Unchained

--Les Miserables
--Life of Pi
--Lincoln

--The Master 
--The Sessions 
--Zero Dark Thirty 

Results: Argo, Django Unchained, Les Miserables, Life of Pi, Lincoln, and Zero Dark Thirty were nominated. (6/9)

Best Director:
--Ben Affleck, Argo

--Paul Thomas Anderson, The Master
--Tom Hooper, Les Miserables
--Christopher Nolan, The Dark Knight Rises 

--Joe Wright, Anna Karenina 

Results: None of these directors were nominated, but Affleck seemed like a no-brainer. (0/5)

Best Actor:
--Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln 
--John Hawkes, The Sessions 
--Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables
--Bill Murray, Hyde Park on the Hudson 
--Joaquin Phoenix, The Master 

Results: Day-Lewis, Jackman, and Phoenix were nominated. (3/5)

Best Supporting Actor:
--Russell Crowe, Les Miserables
--Leonardo DiCaprio, Django Unchained
--Joseph Gordon-Levitt, Lincoln

--Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master 
--Jude Law, Anna Karenina 

Results: Only Hoffman was nominated. (1/5)

Best Actress:
--Marion Cotillard, Rust and Bone
--Helen Hunt, The Sessions
--Keira Knightley, Anna Karenina 
--Jennifer Lawrence, The Silver Linings Playbook
--Carey Mulligan, The Great Gatsby 


Results: Lawrence was nominated here, and Hunt wound up in the Supporting Actress category. (1/5)

Best Supporting Actress:
--Amy Adams, The Master 
--Samantha Barks, Les Miserables 
--Isla Fisher, The Great Gatsby
--Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
--Olivia Williams, Hyde Park on the Hudson 


Results: Adams and Hathaway were nominated. (2/5)

Best Adapted Screenplay:
--Anna Karenina 

--Argo
--Les Miserables
--Life of Pi
--Lincoln 

Results: Argo, Lincoln, and Life of Pi were nominated. (3/5)

Best Original Screenplay:
--Amour

--Beasts of the Southern Wild
-
-Django Unchained 

--The Master
--The Sessions 

Results: Amour and Django Unchained were nominated here, and Beasts showed up in Best Adapted Screenplay. (2/5)

Best Art Direction:  
--Anna Karenina
--Dark Shadows
--The Great Gatsby
--The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
--Les Miserables 

Results: Anna Karenina, The Hobbit, and Les Miserables were nominated. (3/5)

Best Cinematography: 
--The Dark Knight Rises
--Django Unchained
--The Great Gatsby
--Les Miserables
--Life of Pi 

Results: Django Unchained and Life of Pi were nominated. (2/5)

Best Costume Design:  
--Anna Karenina
--Dark Shadows
--The Great Gatsby
--Les Miserables
--Mirror Mirror 

Results: Anna Karenina, Les Miserables, and Mirror Mirror were nominated. (3/5)

Best Film Editing:  
--Argo
--The Dark Knight Rises
--Les Miserables
--The Master
--Zero Dark Thirty 

Results: Argo and Zero Dark Thirty were nominated. (2/5)

Best Original Score:  
--Anna Karenina
--Brave
--Life of Pi
--Lincoln 
--Moonrise Kingdom 

Results: Anna Karenina, Life of Pi, and Lincoln were nominated. (3/5)

Best Original Song: 
TBA 

Results: N/A

Best Makeup:  
--The Dark Knight Rises
--The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
--Lincoln 

Results: Only The Hobbit was nominated. (1/3) 

Best Sound Mixing:
--The Dark Knight Rises
--Les Miserables
--Prometheus
--Skyfall
--Zero Dark Thirty 

Results: Les Miserables and Skyfall were nominated. (2/5)

Best Sound Editing:  
--The Avengers 
--The Dark Knight Rises 
--Prometheus 
--Skyfall
--Zero Dark Thirty 

Results: Skyfall and Zero Dark Thirty were nominated. (2/5)

Best Visual Effects: 
--The Avengers 
--Cloud Atlas 
--The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey 
--Life of Pi
--Prometheus 

Results: The Avengers, The Hobbit, Life of Pi, and Prometheus were nominated. (4/5)

Best Animated Feature Film:
--Brave
--Frankenweenie 
--The Pirates! Band of Misfits

Results: All of these films were nominated, but I didn't predict five nominees. (3/5)

Overall Results: 43/93, or 46% (includes the hypothetical 10 Best Picture nominees I predicted) 

12 comments:

  1. BOO! You did better than me :-P At least I predicted Haneke early! LOL, I'm surprised I didn't at least predict Animated Film early on. I'm doing that this year. I spent last month tracking down nearly EVERY film being released this year so I'm currently editing that down to find my predictions. We should post our predictions back to back on April 1st!!!!!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Haha, I'm surprised I did that well given how crazy this awards season has been. April 1st? Works for me. :)

      Delete
  2. I wonder if anyone actually got the Best Director category right. I sure as hell didn't. I wish we would've seen The Dark Knight Rises get nominated for anything.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. TDKR is just another anomaly this Oscar season. Even Batman Begins managed ONE nomination.

      Delete
  3. They really screwed us over with the Dark Knight Rises :)

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yeah. It at least deserved some nominations in the tech categories.

      Delete
  4. It's a bummer TDKR got barely any noms. And I'd have loved to see John Hawkes being nominated as well, and yeah, no brainer about Affleck but he seems to be having a ball winning everything else, so don't shed a tear for him, ahah.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Haha. Well, Affleck will likely win a second Oscar, so I won't be bothered by it. ;) Of course, we'll never know if the film would've won all these awards if he HAD been nominated for Best Director.

      Delete
  5. Great post! It's interesting to see how your predictions have played out.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Thanks! I'll be posting early ones for next year in the coming weeks.

      Delete