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Monday, January 23, 2017

Final Oscar Predictions

Are we underestimating Hidden Figures?

Months after my first predictions last April, here are my final ones for the nominations tomorrow. Good luck to everyone making predictions, especially to my fellow participants in Film Actually's contest. I've gone out on a limb or two, but I'm sure we'll have some surprises from the Academy.

BEST PICTURE:
Arrival
Fences
Hell or High Water
Hidden Figures
La La Land
Lion
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight

BEST DIRECTOR:
Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Barry Jenkins, Moonlight
Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea
David Mackenzie, Hell or High Water
Martin Scorsese, Silence

BEST ACTOR:
Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge
Ryan Gosling, La La Land
Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic
Denzel Washington, Fences

BEST ACTRESS:
Amy Adams, Arrival
Taraji P. Henson, Hidden Figures
Natalie Portman, Jackie
Emma Stone, La La Land
Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
Kevin Costner, Hidden Figures
Hugh Grant, Florence Foster Jenkins
Dev Patel, Lion

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
Viola Davis, Fences
Naomie Harris, Moonlight
Nicole Kidman, Lion
Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures
Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
Arrival
Fences
Hidden Figures
Lion
Moonlight

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
Hell or High Water
La La Land
The Lobster
Manchester by the Sea
Toni Erdmann

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN:
Arrival
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Hail, Caesar!
La La Land
Silence

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY:
Arrival
La La Land
Lion
Moonlight
Silence

BEST COSTUME DESIGN:
Allied
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Florence Foster Jenkins
Jackie
La La Land

BEST FILM EDITING:
Arrival
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
La La Land
Moonlight

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE:
The BFG
Jackie
La La Land
Lion
Nocturnal Animals

BEST ORIGINAL SONG:
"Audition (The Fools Who Dream)" from La La Land
"City of Stars" from La La Land
"Drive It Like You Stole It" from Sing Street
"How Far I'll Go" from Moana
"Runnin'" from Hidden Figures

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING:
Deadpool
A Man Called Ove
Star Trek Beyond

BEST SOUND MIXING:
Deepwater Horizon
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
La La Land
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

BEST SOUND EDITING:
Arrival
Deepwater Horizon
Hacksaw Ridge
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
Sully

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS:
Arrival
Deepwater Horizon
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
The Jungle Book
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM:
Kubo and the Two Strings
Moana
The Red Turtle
Your Name
Zootopia
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM:
Land of Mine (Denmark)
A Man Called Ove (Sweden)
Paradise (Russia)
The Salesman (Iran)
Toni Erdmann (Germany)

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE FILM:
Cameraperson
Fire at Sea
I Am Not Your Negro
O.J.: Made in America
13th

Here are some No Guts, No Glory predictions:

Silence is shut out.
Lin-Manuel Miranda is snubbed in Best Original Song.
Janelle Monáe sneaks into Best Supporting Actress (for Hidden Figures).
at

9 comments:

  1. The Chatty MoviegoerJanuary 23, 2017 at 6:43 AM

    The lack of Isabelle Huppert on this list or Jackie for Cinematography upsets me deeply. :C

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. JoshJanuary 23, 2017 at 9:13 AM

      I want BOTH of those noms to happen...but I don't think they will. :(

      Delete
    2. The Chatty MoviegoerJanuary 23, 2017 at 12:23 PM

      Why don't you think so? From what I saw of Lion, there wasn't much impressive looking images aside from the one shot of the butterflies xD

      Delete
  2. AnonymousJanuary 23, 2017 at 11:06 AM

    I LOVE how how different our finals are...and I love how we both expect to see a Hidden Fences (errr...Figures) uprise, but in different ways (or...I should say that you see it stronger than I do).

    ReplyDelete
  3. s.January 23, 2017 at 12:50 PM

    Costner sneaking in would be terrific!

    ReplyDelete
  4. joel65913January 23, 2017 at 6:30 PM

    I'd really be surprised to not see Isabelle Huppert score a nom considering the strong showing she made in the winner circle so far. I don't expect her to get the award, while I fully approve of the current trend of an estimable legendary actress receiving a nomination each year it would be nice to see one win!

    I'd also like to see Taraji Henson get in though at the expense of Adams, I don't care if it's a deserving performance-she's been nominated for so many unworthy ones it's time for a miss, or Streep, love her but nothing she does in FFJ is extraordinary enough to warrant inclusion, and not Huppert.

    I'd also like to see Hidden Figures get a nod. It's not good enough to win Best Picture but it is a good film and a nod for it can only encourage films like it to get the green light.

    Staying to Hidden Figures it would be nice to see a surprise Costner nod. I am mostly unimpressed with him as an actor but his laid back solidity with the occasional spark of outburst was a perfect fit for his role.

    ReplyDelete
  5. Brittani BurnhamJanuary 24, 2017 at 7:42 AM

    I love that you picked Taraji for Hidden Figures. PLEASE, Academy!

    ReplyDelete
  6. ChrisJanuary 24, 2017 at 11:41 AM

    I watched the announcement today and turns out Scorsese was shut out. Although Silence did get a cinematography nom. Seems Hanks and Scorsese are not guaranteed which is how it should be. Haven't seen Silence or Sully so I can't say if they are deserving of praise.
    Apparently the Academy had to apologize for Amy Adams and Tom Hanks website flub, they both mistakenly were nominated :)

    ReplyDelete
  7. The Chatty MoviegoerFebruary 27, 2017 at 11:02 AM

    Whooph, the Oscars were rough xD

    ReplyDelete