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Wednesday, January 14, 2015

Final Oscar Predictions

Selma makes the cut, I guess.

The Oscar nominations drop tomorrow, and I still have no idea what to predict. There are so many fringe contenders that I'm sure these will be very wrong. But that's part of the fun. Anyway, I'm done racking my brain, checking statistics, and looking for a pattern. Snubs and surprises will be many, I'm sure, and I've tried to anticipate them below. Good luck to everyone with their predictions!

BEST PICTURE:
American Sniper
Birdman
Boyhood
The Grand Budapest Hotel
The Imitation Game
Nightcrawler
Selma
The Theory of Everything
Whiplash

BEST DIRECTOR:
Wes Anderson, The Grand Budapest Hotel
Ava DuVernay, Selma
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, Birdman
Richard Linklater, Boyhood
Morten Tyldum, The Imitation Game

BEST ACTOR:
Benedict Cumberbatch, The Imitation Game
Jake Gyllenhaal, Nightcrawler
Michael Keaton, Birdman
David Oyelowo, Selma
Eddie Redmayne, The Theory of Everything

BEST ACTRESS:
Amy Adams, Big Eyes
Felicity Jones, The Theory of Everything
Julianne Moore, Still Alice
Rosamund Pike, Gone Girl
Reese Witherspoon, Wild

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Ethan Hawke, Boyhood
Edward Norton, Birdman
Mark Ruffalo, Foxcatcher
J.K. Simmons, Whiplash
Tom Wilkinson, Selma

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
Patricia Arquette, Boyhood
Keira Knightley, The Imitation Game
Rene Russo, Nightcrawler
Emma Stone, Birdman
Meryl Streep, Into the Woods

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
American Sniper
Gone Girl
The Imitation Game
The Theory of Everything
Whiplash

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
Birdman
Boyhood
The Grand Budapest Hotel
Nightcrawler
Selma

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN:
Birdman
The Grand Budapest Hotel
The Imitation Game
Into the Woods
Mr. Turner

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY:
Birdman
The Grand Budapest Hotel
The Imitation Game
Mr. Turner
Unbroken

BEST COSTUME DESIGN:
The Grand Budapest Hotel
The Imitation Game
Into the Woods
Maleficent
Mr. Turner

BEST FILM EDITING:
Birdman
Boyhood
The Imitation Game
Nightcrawler
Whiplash

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE:
The Grand Budapest Hotel
The Imitation Game
Interstellar
The Theory of Everything
Unbroken

BEST ORIGINAL SONG:
"Everything is Awesome" from The LEGO Movie
"Glory" from Selma
"I'm Not Gonna Miss You" from Glen Campbell: I'll Be Me
"Lost Stars" from Begin Again
"What is Love" from Rio 2

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING:
The Grand Budapest Hotel
Guardians of the Galaxy
The Theory of Everything

BEST SOUND MIXING:
American Sniper
Birdman
The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies
Interstellar
Unbroken

BEST SOUND EDITING:
American Sniper
Guardians of the Galaxy
The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies
Interstellar
Unbroken

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS:
Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
Guardians of the Galaxy
The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies
Interstellar
X-Men: Days of Future Past

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM:
Big Hero 6
The Boxtrolls
How to Train Your Dragon 2
The LEGO Movie
The Tale of Princess Kaguya

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM:
Force Majeure (Sweden)
Ida (Poland)
Leviathan (Russia)
Timbuktu (Mauritania)
Wild Tales (Argentina)
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE FILM:
Citizenfour
Finding Vivian Maier
Life Itself
The Overnighters
Virunga
at

8 comments:

  1. Aditya BJanuary 14, 2015 at 1:04 AM

    I think our predictions are basically the same. I'm still refusing to believe that Gone Girl gets shut out of BP & BD, since the Director's branch likes to stray from the DGA lineup nowadays, so I have Fincher on instead of Tyldum. Like I said in your previous post, I think Chris Pine is going to land a surprise Supporting Actor nom, as well as Jessica Chastain for AMVY in the Supporting Actress category. I hope Selma and Grand Budapest get lots of noms. Still, I think that we are in for MANY snubs and surprises. The wait for Thursday is going to be long :P

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    1. JoshJanuary 14, 2015 at 6:05 PM

      I think Gone Girl is too much for some voters and forgotten by other ones. Keep in mind, most Academy members are white males over 60, and they tend to stay away from genre fare. Chastain could still get in, though I think she probably just misses. I expect most of the surprises will stem from Selma and American Sniper noms/snubs, but we'll see.

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  2. AnonymousJanuary 14, 2015 at 8:39 AM

    I love how we only agree on like three categories! I can't wait till tomorrow. You have more faith than I do in Selma. It's underperformance with the guilds was troubling to me. I am throwing all my predicting eggs in the American Sniper basket right now, assuming that the sudden surge of support for it almost everywhere will pay off big in the end.

    We shall see come tomorrow!

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    Replies
    1. JoshJanuary 14, 2015 at 6:07 PM

      LOL. It's too much! I want to believe in Sniper, but I've backed off in favor of a Selma surge. This should be interesting.

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  3. Brittani BurnhamJanuary 14, 2015 at 8:39 AM

    Love seeing Rene Russo in there! I really hope Everything is Awesome and Lost Stars get in. Mostly because I just want to see Tegan and Sarah and The Lonely Island perform. lol

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    Replies
    1. JoshJanuary 14, 2015 at 6:08 PM

      I really think Nightcrawler can get in, but I wouldn't be shocked if it missed entirely. It's still a little iffy to me. Really hope those songs get in as well, especially Lost Stars.

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  4. joel65913January 14, 2015 at 3:27 PM

    I'm hoping for Rene Russo as well. Please NO Adams!!!!!!

    Jennifer Aniston has been working it hard and while I haven't seen her film I hope she gets in. She's a decent actress who has so far squandered her talent in innocuous drivel but I've heard she is excellent in this film. She hasn't a prayer of winning, neither does Adams, but she's a new face in the game and it would be refreshing to see. Unless we're all surprised and the deserving Marion Cotillard is nominated as it should be.

    Keaton's going to take Best Actor in a walk but I'd still like to see Jake get a nomination.

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    Replies
    1. JoshJanuary 14, 2015 at 6:13 PM

      I agree Aniston is a decent actress (even nominate her in '02), but her campaign strategy has really put me off. Everyone campaigns (as I would), but some of the things she's done to promote herself are kind of ridiculous. I'd much rather see Adams or Cotillard get in. After the BAFTA nod, I'm thinking the British voting block comes through for Adams, and she takes Aniston's spot.

      Speaking of Best Actor, I'm also getting tired of Redmayne's campaign, so I hope Keaton does indeed win, which I think he will.

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