July Oscar Predictions

12 Years a Slave looks like a serious contender.

Since my last predictions, I've gone back to predicting 12 Years a Slave for several awards. I'm not sold on Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom getting nominated, but I'm warming up to Captain Phillips and Rush as possible Best Picture nominees. Also, I see The Counselor slipping, but I've kept it in for the time being. Other than that, most of these remain the same.

Best Picture:
American Hustle
Before Midnight
The Counselor
Fruitvale Station
Gravity
Inside Llewyn Davis
The Monuments Men
Saving Mr. Banks
12 Years a Slave
The Wolf of Wall Street

Changes: Replaced Foxcatcher with 12 Years a Slave

Best Director:
George Clooney, The Monuments Men
Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity
Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave
David O. Russell, American Hustle
Martin Scorsese, The Wolf of Wall Street

Changes: Replaced Ridley Scott with Steve McQueen

Best Actor:
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Wolf of Wall Street
Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave
Michael B. Jordan, Fruitvale Station
Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club
Robert Redford, All is Lost

Changes: Replaced Steve Carell with Chiwetel Ejiofor

Best Actress:
Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
Sandra Bullock, Gravity
Judi Dench, Philomena
Meryl Streep, August: Osage County
Emma Thompson, Saving Mr. Banks

Changes: Replaced Julie Delpy with Sandra Bullock

Best Supporting Actor:
Daniel Brühl, Rush
Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave
Tom Hanks, Saving Mr. Banks
Woody Harrelson, Out of the Furnace
Jonah Hill, The Wolf of Wall Street 

Changes: Replaced Javier Bardem, Colin Farrell and Channing Tatum with Daniel Brühl, Tom Hanks and Jonah Hill

Best Supporting Actress:
Amy Adams, American Hustle
Cameron Diaz, The Counselor
Lupita Nyong'o, 12 Years a Slave
Julia Roberts, August: Osage County
Octavia Spencer, Fruitvale Station

Changes: Replaced Penelope Cruz with Lupita Nyong'o

Best Adapted Screenplay:
August: Osage County
Before Midnight
The Monuments Men
12 Years a Slave
The Wolf of Wall Street

Changes: Replaced Foxcatcher with 12 Years a Slave

Best Original Screenplay:
American Hustle
The Counselor
Fruitvale Station
Inside Llewyn Davis
Saving Mr. Banks

Changes: Replaced Nebraska with Saving Mr. Banks

Best Production Design:
The Great Gatsby
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
The Monuments Men
Saving Mr. Banks
12 Years a Slave

Changes: None

Best Cinematography:
Gravity
Inside Llewyn Davis
The Monuments Men
Rush
12 Years a Slave

Changes: Replaced The Counselor, The Immigrant and To the Wonder with The Monuments Men, Rush and 12 Years a Slave

Best Costume Design:
American Hustle
Grace of Monaco
The Great Gatsby
The Monuments Men
Saving Mr. Banks

Changes: Replaced Oz the Great and Powerful and The Wolf of Wall Street with American Hustle and The Monuments Men

Best Film Editing:
Captain Phillips
Gravity
Rush
12 Years a Slave
The Wolf of Wall Street

Changes: Replaced The Counselor with 12 Years a Slave

Best Original Score:
Gravity
The Immigrant
The Monuments Men
Saving Mr. Banks
12 Years a Slave

Changes: Replaced The Counselor with 12 Years a Slave

Best Original Song:
Can a Song Save Your Life?
The Great Gatsby
Inside Llewyn Davis
Turbo
Winter's Tale

Changes: Replaced Monsters University with Turbo

Best Makeup and Hairstyling:
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Rush
The Secret Life of Walter Mitty

Changes: Replaced Star Trek Into Darkness with Rush

Best Sound Mixing:
Captain Phillips
Elysium
Gravity
Inside Llewyn Davis
Rush

Changes: Replaced The Counselor with Elysium

Best Sound Editing:
Captain Phillips
Elysium
Gravity
Rush
Star Trek Into Darkness

Changes: Replaced Monsters University with Elysium

Best Visual Effects:
Elysium
Gravity
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Man of Steel
Pacific Rim

Changes: Replaced Star Trek Into Darkness with Elysium

Best Animated Feature Film: 
Epic
Ernest & Celestine
Frozen
Monsters University
Turbo

Changes: Replaced Planes with Ernest & Celestine

Best Foreign Language Film:
Argentina
France
Germany
Hong Kong
Japan

Changes: None