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Wednesday, October 7, 2015

October Oscar Predictions

Is Room Oscar-bound?

A few things have changes since last month's predictions. Room, it seems, is not only a potential Best Actress contender, but also a possible Best Picture nominee. Also, co-leads Alicia Vikander and Rooney Mara are officially being campaigned in the supporting category for their performances in The Danish Girl and Carol, respectively. There was talk of David O. Russell's Joy moving to next year, but it's staying in 2015. While the new trailer for The Revenant is enticing, early word on Bridge of Spies is that it looks on track to become Steven Spielberg's tenth Best Picture-nominated film. Check out my latest predictions, including my first ones for Best Documentary Feature Film and Best Foreign Language Film, below.

BEST PICTURE:
Bridge of Spies
Brooklyn
Carol
The Danish Girl
Inside Out
Joy
The Revenant
Room
Spotlight
Steve Jobs

Changes: Replaced Beasts of No Nation with Room

BEST DIRECTOR:
Danny Boyle, Steve Jobs
Tom Hooper, The Danish Girl
Alejandro González Iñárritu, The Revenant
Thomas McCarthy, Spotlight
Steven Spielberg, Bridge of Spies

Changes: Replaced Haynes with Hooper

BEST ACTOR:
Michael Caine, Youth
Johnny Depp, Black Mass
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs
Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl

Changes: None

BEST ACTRESS:
Cate Blanchett, Carol
Brie Larson, Room
Jennifer Lawrence, Joy
Carey Mulligan, Suffragette
Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn

Changes: Moved Vikander to supporting; Added Larson

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Benicio Del Toro, Sicario
Idris Elba, Beasts of No Nation
Tom Hardy, The Revenant
Michael Keaton, Spotlight
Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies

Changes: Replaced Keitel with Rylance

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
Jane Fonda, Youth
Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight
Rooney Mara, Carol
Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs

Changes: Replaced Page with Vikander

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
Brooklyn
The Danish Girl
The Revenant
Room
Steve Jobs

Changes: Replaced Beasts of No Nation and Carol with The Revenant and Room

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
Bridge of Spies
The Hateful Eight
Inside Out
Joy
Spotlight

Changes: Replaced Youth with The Hateful Eight

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN:
Brooklyn
Carol
The Danish Girl
The Revenant
Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens

Changes: Replaced Bridge of Spies, Cinderella, and Pan with The Danish Girl, The Revenant, and Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY:
Bridge of Spies
Carol
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant
Sicario

Changes: Replaced Beasts of No Nation with Bridge of Spies

BEST COSTUME DESIGN:
Brooklyn
Carol
Cinderella
The Danish Girl
Far from the Madding Crowd

Changes: None

BEST FILM EDITING:
Bridge of Spies
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant
Spotlight
Steve Jobs

Changes: Replaced Sicario with The Revenant

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE:
Bridge of Spies
Carol
The Danish Girl
Inside Out
Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens

Changes: Replaced Far from the Madding Crowd with Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens

BEST ORIGINAL SONG:
"Cold One" from Ricki and the Flash
"Phenomenal" from Southpaw
"Story to Tell" from He Named Me Malala
"Till It Happens to You" from The Hunting Ground
"Writing's on the Wall" from Spectre

Changes: None

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING:
The Danish Girl
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant

Changes: Replaced Cinderella and Pan with Mad Max: Fury Road and The Revenant

BEST SOUND MIXING:
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Spectre
Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens

Changes: Replaced In the Heart of the Sea with The Martian

BEST SOUND EDITING:
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Spectre
Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens

Changes: Replaced In the Heart of the Sea with The Revenant

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS:
Jurassic World
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens
The Walk

Changes: Replaced Avengers: Age of Ultron with The Walk

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM:
Anomalisa
The Good Dinosaur
Inside Out
Kahlil Gibran's The Prophet
Shaun the Sheep Movie

Changes: Replaced The Little Prince with Anomalisa
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE FILM:
Amy
Cartel Land
The Hunting Ground
The Look of Silence
Stray Dog
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM:
The Club (Chile)
Labyrinth of Lies (Germany)
Mustang (France)
Son of Saul (Hungary)
Viva (Ireland)
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16 comments:

  1. Brittani BurnhamOctober 8, 2015 at 8:11 AM

    Bridge of Spies looks so generic to me, but it's Speilberg so you're probably right. It will get in there. I just finished reading Room, I'm looking forward to the movie because I think it may actually play out a bit better than the book. I figured Vikander and Mara would end up in Supporting.

    I want Joseph Gordon-Levitt to get in there for The Walk but that's probably just wishful thinking on my part.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. JoshOctober 8, 2015 at 10:27 AM

      I'm intrigued by BOS, but it does look like lesser Spielberg. Can't wait for Room! I really thought Vikander would stay in Lead, but apparently not.

      Ha, JGL isn't happening, but maybe the Golden Globes will nominate him.

      Delete
  2. AnonymousOctober 8, 2015 at 8:28 AM

    Love the subtle differences here between our predictions...but...did you see the reactions from the Joy screening last night? Looks like Ladd, Lawrence, De Niro and Rossellini are in the hunt for Oscar noms. The reactions were pretty huge...O. Russell's best film since Three Kings is what this is being called, and it looks like Lawrence could actually be winning her second Oscar.

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    Replies
    1. JoshOctober 8, 2015 at 10:30 AM

      You would know I just missed the Joy reactions. Well, at least I can change my predictions again next month. :P I'm not ready to give in just yet, though. Supposedly, Lawrence doesn't want to campaign, which was the reason for the potential move to 2016, so I wonder about her chances.

      Delete
  3. UnknownOctober 8, 2015 at 9:49 PM

    I'm not sure if Inside Out will make the cut for Best Picture, but the rest of the list looks pretty solid. I'm curious to see how Joy is received--I secretly love JLaw.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. JoshOctober 12, 2015 at 5:29 AM

      I think Inside Out will get in, but it's possible it could get lost in the shuffle. It looks like Joy will get several nominations, if early word is accurate.

      Delete
  4. s.October 9, 2015 at 2:26 AM

    If she wins her second Oscar I'm gonna vomit my guts out.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. JoshOctober 12, 2015 at 5:30 AM

      Haha, that would be weird if she wins again so soon.

      Delete
  5. Matthew St.ClairOctober 11, 2015 at 10:01 PM

    Our Best Supporting Actor and Best Actress predictions are almost identical. Instead of Mark Rylance, I have Mark Ruffalo and instead of Carey Mulligan, I have Lily Tomlin.

    I do have a feeling Bridge of Spies will play well with voters since it seems like safe Spielberg and I initially didn't include Eddie Redmayne on my Actor predictions because the film has quite a mixed reception and I'm not a very big fan of his. But the nature of the role and thinness of the category might allow him to sneak in.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. JoshOctober 12, 2015 at 5:32 AM

      I don't see Grandma going anywhere in the awards season, except maybe the Indie Spirits and the Golden Globes. Ruffalo could happen.

      BOS looks like a film the Academy will love. I think Redmayne is a lock for nomination, actually. Let's just hope it's finally Leo's year.

      Delete
    2. Matthew St.ClairOctober 13, 2015 at 8:44 PM

      Fingers crossed. If it's not Leo, then we still got Fassy!!

      Delete
    3. JoshOctober 15, 2015 at 4:29 AM

      Fassy would be an awesome win, but Leo, man.

      Delete
  6. ChrisOctober 12, 2015 at 6:49 AM

    I'm rooting for Inside Out for a best picture nom! I actually tried reading Room (the novel by Emma Donoghue) about a year ago, I gave up as it didn't grab me. Hope the movie is good!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. JoshOctober 15, 2015 at 4:28 AM

      Fingers crossed for Inside Out! It feels like it came out ages ago, which hopefully won't hurt it. I haven't read Room, but I'm looking forward to the movie.

      Delete
  7. Alex WithrowOctober 27, 2015 at 4:01 PM

    Saw Room over the weekend and I would absolutely love if Brie Larson got nominated. She's so good.

    ReplyDelete