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Tuesday, October 7, 2014

October Oscar Predictions

Julianne Moore could win her first Oscar!

Since last month's predictions, Still Alice has been picked up, making Julianne Moore the new Best Actress frontrunner. Also, American Sniper has emerged as a potential contender, and Fury, Inherent Vice, and Into the Woods are dwindling. Foxcatcher also seems to be falling off the Best Picture radar. The Imitation Game seems poised to be a major player, but Interstellar and Unbroken will be in the hunt as well. Selma could be a big, though it's hard to guess where it will fit in the Oscar race.

BEST PICTURE:
American Sniper
Birdman
Boyhood
Foxcatcher
Gone Girl
The Imitation Game
Interstellar
The Theory of Everything
Unbroken

 Changes: Reduced it to 9 nominees; Replaced Fury, Inherent Vice and Into the Woods with American Sniper and The Theory of Everything

BEST DIRECTOR:
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, Birdman
Angelina Jolie, Unbroken
Richard Linklater, Boyhood
Christopher Nolan, Interstellar
Morten Tyldum, The Imitation Game

 Changes: Replaced Miller with Tyldum

BEST ACTOR:
Ben Affleck, Gone Girl
Steve Carell, Foxcatcher
Benedict Cumberbatch, The Imitation Game
Michael Keaton, Birdman
Eddie Redmayne, The Theory of Everything

 Changes: Replaced O'Connell with Redmayne

BEST ACTRESS:
Amy Adams, Big Eyes
Felicity Jones, The Theory of Everything
Julianne Moore, Still Alice
Rosamund Pike, Gone Girl
Reese Witherspoon, Wild

 Changes: Replaced Streep and Woodley with Jones and Moore

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Josh Brolin, Inherent Vice
Ethan Hawke, Boyhood
Edward Norton, Birdman
Channing Tatum, Foxcatcher
Tom Wilkinson, Selma

 Changes: Replaced Ruffalo with Brolin

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
Patricia Arquette, Boyhood
Jessica Chastain, Interstellar
Keira Knightley, The Imitation Game
Meryl Streep, Into the Woods
Katherine Waterston, Inherent Vice

 Changes: Replaced Blunt, Dern and Stone with Chastain, Streep and Waterston

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
American Sniper
Gone Girl
The Imitation Game
The Theory of Everything
Unbroken

 Changes: Replaced Inherent Vice and Trash with American Sniper and The Theory of Everything

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
Birdman
Boyhood
Foxcatcher
Interstellar
Mr. Turner

 Changes: None

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN:
Big Eyes
The Grand Budapest Hotel
The Imitation Game
Into the Woods
Mr. Turner

 Changes: Replaced Exodus: Gods and Kings with Big Eyes

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY:
Birdman
Fury
Gone Girl
Interstellar
Unbroken

 Changes: None

BEST COSTUME DESIGN:
Exodus: Gods and Kings
The Grand Budapest Hotel
Into the Woods
Maleficent
Mr. Turner

 Changes: Replaced Inherent Vice with The Grand Budapest Hotel

BEST FILM EDITING:
Boyhood
Gone Girl
The Imitation Game
Interstellar
Unbroken

 Changes: Replace Foxcatcher with The Imitation Game

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE:
Gone Girl
The Imitation Game
Interstellar
The Theory of Everything
Unbroken

 Changes: None

BEST ORIGINAL SONG:
"Everything is Awesome" from The LEGO Movie
"Grateful" from Beyond the Lights
"I Love You Too Much" from The Book of Life
"Lost Stars" from Begin Again
"Something So Right" from Muppets Most Wanted


 Changes: Replaced The Fault in Our Stars with Beyond the Lights

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING:
Foxcatcher
Guardians of the Galaxy
Into the Woods

 Changes: None

BEST SOUND MIXING:
Fury
The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies
Interstellar
Into the Woods
Unbroken

 Changes: None

BEST SOUND EDITING:
Fury
Godzilla
The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies
Interstellar
Transformers: Age of Extinction

 Changes: None

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS:
Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
Godzilla
Guardians of the Galaxy
The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies
Interstellar

 Changes: None

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM:
Big Hero 6
The Boxtrolls
How to Train Your Dragon 2
The LEGO Movie
Song of the Sea

 Changes: None

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM:
Ida (Poland)
Leviathan (Russia)
Mommy (Canada)
Two Days, One Night (Belgium)
Winter Sleep (Turkey)

Changes: Replaced Italy and Spain with Russia and Turkey
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6 comments:

  1. Brittani BurnhamOctober 8, 2014 at 7:25 AM

    I'm still a little iffy about American Sniper. I think Fury looks a bit better. I would love Carrie Coon to get in on the Best Supporting Actress race too.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. JoshOctober 14, 2014 at 10:48 AM

      I'd love for Carrie Coon to break into the Oscar race! I think American Sniper could play better with the Academy, but Fury looks like a better film.

      Delete
  2. AnonymousOctober 8, 2014 at 3:15 PM

    Yeah, I think I'll be adding Theory and Sniper to my predictions next month. I think Cooper could make a dash for the actual trophy. The trailer looks really sharp, and his character is said to be VERY baity. Three times a charm?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. JoshOctober 14, 2014 at 10:50 AM

      I could see Cooper breaking into the Best Actor race. I wander who he'd knock out. Maybe Affleck. Perhaps the final lineup will be Carell, Cooper, Cumberbatch, Keaton, and Redmayne.

      Delete
  3. joel65913October 9, 2014 at 2:23 PM

    I really hope Julianne Moore can ride this train to a win. There's the whole she's due thing, which of course she is, but from what I've read she's phenomenal in the film. The best of both worlds, although the character does sound awfully close to Julie Chrisite's Fiona in Away From Her, which I'm still disappointed she lost for.

    I'd be more disappointed though if she had lost to anyone else but Marion Cotillard the only one who gave a performance anywhere near her equal that year. Puzzlingly that win seems to have hurt Marion in the academy's eyes somehow. It might have been better for Julie to have taken it that year then the many high quality performances Marion's given since might not have been ignored and she would have been awarded more.

    I'm looking forward to Foxcatcher too. Also no offense to her but I'd love a season without a Meryl Streep nomination. No matter where she ends up lead or supporting she manages to take over a great deal of the conversation when she's in the race even if she doesn't have a prayer of winning.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. JoshOctober 14, 2014 at 10:57 AM

      Apparently, Maps to the Stars is also getting a qualifying run for the Oscars. Maybe Moore could make a play for a Supporting Actress nomination as well. I really hope she wins for something this year.

      Cotillard's win is one of my favorites, though Christie is terrific. I'm guessing Cotillard just missed for Rust and Bone, and category confusion for Nine didn't help her. The Academy might still love her.

      Haha, I'm thrilled when Streep doesn't factor into the Oscar race. She's a great actress, but she often feels like a filler nomination at this point.

      Delete