Wednesday, December 16, 2015

December Oscar Predictions

Are we underestimating Fury Road's chances for major nominations?

Now that the SAG, Golden Globe, and Critics' Choice Awards nominations have been announced, several categories (Best Supporting Actor, for instance) are tough to predict. My final predictions could change a lot by next month. But Spotlight still looks like the frontrunner, with something like The Martian as a potential spoiler. Check out my up-to-date predictions below.

BEST PICTURE:
Bridge of Spies
Brooklyn
Carol
The Hateful Eight
Inside Out
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Room
Spotlight

Changes: Replaced Joy and Steve Jobs with Carol and Mad Max: Fury Road

BEST DIRECTOR:
Todd Haynes, Carol
Alejandro G. Iñárritu, The Revenant
Thomas McCarthy, Spotlight
George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road
Ridley Scott, The Martian

Changes: Replaced Abrahamson and Spielberg with Haynes and Miller

BEST ACTOR:
Bryan Cranston, Trumbo
Johnny Depp, Black Mass
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs
Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl

Changes: Replaced Smith with Cranston

BEST ACTRESS:
Cate Blanchett, Carol
Brie Larson, Room
Jennifer Lawrence, Joy
Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years
Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn

Changes: Replaced Mulligan with Rampling

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Christian Bale, The Big Short
Idris Elba, Beasts of No Nation
Michael Keaton, Spotlight
Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies
Sylvester Stallone, Creed

Changes: Replaced Del Toro, Hardy and Ruffalo with Bale, Elba and Stallone

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight
Rooney Mara, Carol
Rachel McAdams, Spotlight
Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs

Changes: Replaced Fonda with McAdams

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
The Big Short
Brooklyn
Carol
Room
Steve Jobs

Changes: Replaced The Danish Girl and The Revenant with The Big Short and Carol

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
Bridge of Spies
The Hateful Eight
Inside Out
Joy
Spotlight

Changes: None

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN:
Brooklyn
Carol
Crimson Peak
Mad Max: Fury Road
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Changes: Replaced The Revenant with Mad Max: Fury Road

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY:
Carol
The Hateful Eight
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant
Sicario

Changes: Replaced The Martian with Carol

BEST COSTUME DESIGN:
Brooklyn
Carol
Cinderella
Crimson Peak
The Danish Girl

Changes: Replaced Far from the Madding Crowd with Crimson Peak

BEST FILM EDITING:
Bridge of Spies
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
Spotlight
Steve Jobs

Changes: Replaced The Revenant with Mad Max: Fury Road

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE:
Bridge of Spies
The Danish Girl
The Hateful Eight
Inside Out
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Changes: None

BEST ORIGINAL SONG:
"Love Me Like You Do" from Fifty Shades of Grey
"See You Again" from Furious 7
"Simple Song #3" from Youth
"So Long" from Concussion
"Till It Happens to You" from The Hunting Ground

Changes: Replaced Love & Mercy and Ricki and the Flash with Fifty Shades of Grey and Youth

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING:
Black Mass
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant

Changes: Replaced The Danish Girl with Black Mass

BEST SOUND MIXING:
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Spectre
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Changes: None

BEST SOUND EDITING:
Everest
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Changes: Replaced Spectre with The Revenant

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS:
Jurassic World
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
The Walk

Changes: None

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM:
Anomalisa
Inside Out
Kahlil Gibran's The Prophet
The Peanuts Movie
Shaun the Sheep Movie

Changes: Replaced The Good Dinosaur with The Peanuts Movie


BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE FILM:
Amy
Cartel Land
Listen to Me Marlon
The Look of Silence
Where to Invade Next

Changes: None


BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM:
The Club (Chile)
Labyrinth of Lies (Germany)
Mustang (France)
Son of Saul (Hungary)
Viva (Ireland)

Changes: None

10 comments:

  1. Paul Dano and Michael Shannon need to be in the Supporting Actor line up. (IMO) I feel like Shannon's a lock at this point, he's hit all the big noms, and Dano's only missed a few.

    I don't think Inside Out will get a Best Picture nomination. It's a shame Jennifer Lawrence may get another one for Joy when Mulligan was SO GOOD in Suffragette. I'm still pulling for Jacob Tremblay to get in there too.

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    1. I think Shannon is a classic example of an actor hitting everywhere except at BAFTA and the Oscars. Even if he gets in at BAFTA it's not a sure thing. Dano, unfortunately, doesn't have much of a chance, unless he's a surprise nominee on Oscar morning.

      Inside Out could miss, but I think it'd be a lock for a nom if there were still 10 films. I prefer Mulligan in Far from the Madding Crowd, but I'd love for her to get a nomination for either film. And YES to Tremblay! He deserves it.

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  2. I just want Hardy to be nominated. If Christian freaking Bale gets in over him...no. Please no.

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    1. Haha, I think Bale is happening. But maybe there's room for Hardy, too. :)

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  3. Nice work buddy. I need to do a little research before I get my next batch of predictions up!

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    1. Thanks! Looking forward to your predictions!

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  4. All I want for the season is a nomination for Charlotte Rampling. I haven't seen her film yet but it doesn't matter I'm sure she's great and I can't think of anyone who is more overdue than she. I'd be delighted if she won though I'm guessing that's a long shot but at least the acknowledgement of her awesomeness will be hers nonetheless.

    I feel for Carey Mulligan, it looked like she was going to be the winner for a while and now it's questionable if she'll even be in the running.

    I hate how rampant category fraud has become. Such a cheat to the deserving character actors who are being screwed out of their just reward by greedy stars and studios.

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    1. Yeah, category fraud is not fair, but I'd love for someone like Jacob Tremblay to benefit from it. He's the real star of Room.

      I really hope Rampling makes the cut. How has she NEVER been nominated?!

      And I'd love for Mulligan to be more in the race, but at least she's already a nominee.

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  5. I'm REALLY REALLY hoping Mad Max: Fury Road gets in on Best Picture noms, and hopefully Theron won't be overlooked in Best Actress race. I'm really tired of seeing Jennifer Lawrence's name on there.

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    1. Haha, I think Lawrence is happening, even if Joy doesn't get a Best Picture nom. I could see Fury Road getting in, though Theron will be overlooked. Fingers crossed for Mad Max! :)

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