November Oscar Predictions

Is Christian Bale a serious threat for Best Actor?

It's only a month before SAG and the Golden Globes announce their nominees, and I'm sure they'll give us a better idea of what to expect from the Academy in January. Vice appears to be a solid Best Picture contender now, while Green Book and BlacKkKlansman feel vulnerable. And I'm starting to think First Man could miss, especially if Mary Poppins Returns really does charm voters. Though, it's likely Roma vs. A Star is Born in the end. I have no idea what to make of the below-the-line categories, and each acting category has a slot or two open. But here's where I'm at.

BEST PICTURE:
BlacKkKlansman
Black Panther
The Favourite
First Man
Green Book
If Beale Street Could Talk
Roma
A Star is Born
Vice

BEST DIRECTOR:
Damien Chazelle, First Man
Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born
Alfonso Cuarón, Roma
Yorgos Lanthimos, The Favourite
Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman

BEST ACTOR:
Christian Bale, Vice
Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born
Ryan Gosling, First Man
Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody
Viggo Mortensen, Green Book

BEST ACTRESS:
Glenn Close, The Wife
Olivia Colman, The Favourite
Viola Davis, Widows
Lady Gaga, A Star is Born
Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Mahershala Ali, Green Book
Adam Driver, BlacKkKlansman
Sam Elliott, A Star is Born
Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Nicholas Hoult, The Favourite

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
Amy Adams, Vice
Nicole Kidman, Boy Erased
Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk
Emma Stone, The Favourite
Rachel Weisz, The Favourite

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
BlacKkKlansman
Can You Ever Forgive Me?
First Man
If Beale Street Could Talk
A Star is Born

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
The Favourite
First Reformed
Green Book
Roma
Vice

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN:
Black Panther
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
The Favourite
First Man
Mary Poppins Returns

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY:
The Favourite
First Man
If Beale Street Could Talk
Roma
A Star is Born

BEST COSTUME DESIGN:
Black Panther
The Favourite
Mary Poppins Returns
Mary Queen of Scots
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms

BEST FILM EDITING:
Black Panther
The Favourite
First Man
Roma
A Star is Born

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE:
First Man
If Beale Street Could Talk
Isle of Dogs
Mary Poppins Returns
You Were Never Really Here

BEST ORIGINAL SONG:
Black Panther - "All the Stars"
Boy Erased - "Revelation"
Mary Poppins Returns - "Trip a Little Light Fantastic"
RBG - "I'll Fight"
A Star is Born - "Shallow"

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING:
Black Panther
Mary Queen of Scots
Vice

BEST SOUND MIXING:
Black Panther
First Man
Mission: Impossible - Fallout
Roma
A Star is Born

BEST SOUND EDITING:
Black Panther
First Man
Incredibles 2
Mission: Impossible - Fallout
A Quiet Place

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS:
Avengers: Infinity War
Black Panther
First Man
Mary Poppins Returns
Ready Player One

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM:
Incredibles 2
Isle of Dogs
Mary and the Witch’s Flower
Mirai
Ralph Breaks the Internet