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Monday, November 28, 2016

November Oscar Predictions

Washington and Davis seem Oscar-bound for Fences.

Since last month, we've seen footage from Martin Scorsese's Silence, which looks like a possible alternate to La La Land winning Best Picture. Of course, Manchester by the Sea and Moonlight have passionate support, as will Fences (from the actors branch at least). Not much has changed in my predictions, though. Check them out below.

BEST PICTURE:
Fences
Florence Foster Jenkins
Hidden Figures
Jackie
La La Land
Lion
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight
Silence

Changes: None

BEST DIRECTOR:
Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Barry Jenkins, Moonlight
Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea
Martin Scorsese, Silence
Denzel Washington, Fences

 Changes: None

BEST ACTOR:
Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
Andrew Garfield, Silence
Ryan Gosling, La La Land
Tom Hanks, Sully
Denzel Washington, Fences

 Changes: Replaced McConaughey with Hanks

BEST ACTRESS:
Annette Bening, 20th Century Women
Ruth Negga, Loving
Natalie Portman, Jackie
Emma Stone, La La Land
Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins

 Changes: None

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
Hugh Grant, Florence Foster Jenkins
Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea
Liam Neeson, Silence
Mykelti Williamson, Fences

 Changes: Replaced Bridges with Williamson

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
Viola Davis, Fences
Greta Gerwig, 20th Century Women
Naomie Harris, Moonlight
Nicole Kidman, Lion
Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea

 Changes: None

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
Arrival
Fences
Hidden Figures
Lion
Silence

 Changes: Replaced Live By Night with Arrival

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
Hell or High Water
La La Land
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight
20th Century Women

 Changes: Replaced Jackie with Hell or High Water

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN:
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
La La Land
Live By Night
Rules Don't Apply
Silence

 Changes: None

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY:
Hail, Caesar!
Jackie
La La Land
Live By Night
Silence

 Changes: Replaced Moonlight with Hail, Caesar!

BEST COSTUME DESIGN:
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Jackie
La La Land
Live By Night
Silence

 Changes: None

BEST FILM EDITING:
La La Land
Lion
Moonlight
Silence
Sully

 Changes: Replaced Fences with Lion

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE:
The BFG
Florence Foster Jenkins
The Jungle Book
La La Land
Silence

 Changes: Replaced Arrival with La La Land

BEST ORIGINAL SONG:
"Audition (The Fools Who Dream)" from La La Land
"City of Stars" from La La Land
"Go Now" from Sing Street
"How Far I'll Go" from Moana
"Runnin'" from Hidden Figures

 Changes: Switched Hidden Figures songs

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING:
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
Star Trek Beyond

 Changes: None

BEST SOUND MIXING:
Deepwater Horizon
Hacksaw Ridge
La La Land
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
Silence

 Changes: Replaced Arrival with Hacksaw Ridge

BEST SOUND EDITING:
Deepwater Horizon
Hacksaw Ridge
The Jungle Book
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
Sully

 Changes: Replaced Arrival and Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk with The Jungle Book and Sully

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS:
Arrival
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
The Jungle Book
Passengers
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

 Changes: None

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM:
Kubo and the Two Strings
Miss Hokusai
Moana
The Red Turtle
Zootopia

 Changes: Replaced Finding Dory with Moana
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM:
Elle (France)
The Idol (Palestine)
Land of Mine (Denmark)
Neruda (Chile)
Toni Erdmann (Germany)

Changes: Replaced The Salesman (Iran) with The Idol
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6 comments:

  1. The Chatty MoviegoerNovember 28, 2016 at 8:22 AM

    Why'd ya change Moonlight for Cinematography? I thought it looked real good, and Ceaser kinda... Meh. XD

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. JoshNovember 30, 2016 at 12:09 PM

      I think the Cinematographers branch of the Academy might give Roger Deakins another nom. They have their favorites, and I could see him getting in at Moonlight's expense.

      Delete
  2. AnonymousNovember 28, 2016 at 10:42 AM

    I'm so all over the place right now because I could see so many different things happening...snubs and surprises. We match up quite a bit (I debated posting predictions but I think I'm going to just post my predictions the night before the noms are announced this year) but I see a lot changing.

    I'm starting to wonder if Driver will sneak in. He looked GREAT in the trailer, and from what I hear his role is actually the baitiest of the three...and he's had a banner year.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. JoshNovember 30, 2016 at 12:11 PM

      I wonder where Driver fits...Supporting? I could see him getting put there even if he's a co-lead, and that category certainly seems wide open.

      Delete
  3. joel65913November 30, 2016 at 8:01 PM

    I have bunches to see but what seems to be brewing in Best Actress is Isabelle Huppert moving towards a nomination for Elle which I'd much rather see happen than another nod for Meryl Streep fine actress that she may be.

    Not every year has that slot for a well respect actress of legendary reputation who is finally handed a much deserved nod but lately there has been and I'm all for it. The only thing better is if they would actually win as Charlotte Rampling and Emmannuelle Riva should have in their respective years.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. JoshDecember 7, 2016 at 1:38 AM

      Yeah, I'm waiting on a few more precursors, but I could see Huppert getting in...or she could be this year's Cotillard (for Rust and Bone). :/

      I'd have been thrilled at either win, but I'd give Blanchett the slightest of edges over Rampling.

      Delete