October Oscar Predictions

Scorsese's Silence is officially being released this year.

Since last month, Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk stumbled, and it doesn't seem to be a major Oscar contender after all. While The Birth of a Nation looks like it will be completely overlooked, Moonlight is coming on strong with great reviews. And Martin Scorsese's Silence is still lurking, as is (potentially) Ben Affleck's Live By Night. Check out my current predictions below.

BEST PICTURE:

Fences

Florence Foster Jenkins
Hidden Figures
Jackie
La La Land
Lion
Manchester by the Sea

Moonlight

Silence

Changes: Replaced Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk and The Birth of a Nation with Hidden Figures and Lion

BEST DIRECTOR:

Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Barry Jenkins, Moonlight
Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea

Martin Scorsese, Silence

Denzel Washington, Fences

Changes: Replaced Lee with Lonergan

BEST ACTOR:

Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea

Andrew Garfield, Silence

Ryan Gosling, La La Land
Matthew McConaughey, Gold
Denzel Washington, Fences

Changes: None

BEST ACTRESS:

Annette Bening, 20th Century Women
Ruth Negga, Loving
Natalie Portman, Jackie

Emma Stone, La La Land

Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins

Changes: Replaced Davis (moved to Supporting) with Negga

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:

Mahershala Ali, Moonlight

Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
Hugh Grant, Florence Foster Jenkins
Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea
Liam Neeson, Silence

Changes: None

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:

Viola Davis, Fences
Greta Gerwig, 20th Century Women
Naomie Harris, Moonlight

Nicole Kidman, Lion
Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea

Changes: Replaced Spencer and Stewart with Davis (from Lead) and Gerwig

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:

Fences

Hidden Figures
Lion
Live By Night
Silence

Changes: Replaced Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk and Moonlight (deemed original) with Hidden Figures and Live By Night

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:

Jackie
La La Land

Manchester by the Sea

Moonlight
20th Century Women

Changes: Replaced Florence Foster Jenkins with Moonlight (from adapted)

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN:

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
La La Land

Live By Night
Rules Don't Apply

Silence

Changes: Replaced Passengers with Rules Don't Apply

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY:

Jackie

La La Land
Live By Night

Moonlight
Silence

Changes: Replaced Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk with Jackie

BEST COSTUME DESIGN:

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

Jackie
La La Land

Live By Night
Silence

Changes: None

BEST FILM EDITING:

Fences

La La Land

Moonlight
Silence

Sully

Changes: Replaced Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk with Fences

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE:

Arrival
The BFG

Florence Foster Jenkins

The Jungle Book

Silence

Changes: None

BEST ORIGINAL SONG:

"Audition (The Fools Who Dream)" from La La Land

"City of Stars" from La La Land
"Go Now" from Sing Street
"How Far I'll Go" from Moana
"I See a Victory" from Hidden Figures

Changes: Switched Moana songs

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING:

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
Star Trek Beyond

Changes: None

BEST SOUND MIXING:

Arrival

Deepwater Horizon

La La Land

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
Silence

Changes: Replaced Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk with Silence

BEST SOUND EDITING:

Arrival
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk

Deepwater Horizon

Hacksaw Ridge

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Changes: Replaced Jason Bourne with Hacksaw Ridge

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS:

Arrival
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

The Jungle Book

Passengers

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Changes: None

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM:

Finding Dory

Kubo and the Two Strings
Miss Hokusai

The Red Turtle

Zootopia

Changes: Replaced Moana with Miss Hokusai

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM:

Elle (France)
Land of Mine (Denmark)
Neruda (Chile)
The Salesman (Iran)
Toni Erdmann (Germany)

(New category added)