August Oscar Predictions

Moonlight could be one the year's indie darlings.

I've made a few big changes since last month, especially after the Nate Parker scandal, which could knock The Birth of a Nation out of the race entirely. Check out my picks below.

BEST PICTURE:

Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk

The Birth of a Nation

Fences
La La Land

Loving

Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight

Passengers

Silence

Changes: Replaced The Light Between Oceans with Moonlight

BEST DIRECTOR:

Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Ang Lee, Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk

Jeff Nichols, Loving

Martin Scorsese, Silence

Denzel Washington, Fences

Changes: Replaced Parker with Washington

BEST ACTOR:

Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea

Joel Edgerton, Loving

Andrew Garfield, Silence
Ryan Gosling, La La Land
Denzel Washington, Fences

Changes: Replaced Harrelson and Keaton with Garfield and Gosling

BEST ACTRESS:

Annette Bening, 20th Century Women
Viola Davis, Fences

Ruth Negga, Loving

Emma Stone, La La Land

Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins

Changes: Replaced Vikander with Streep

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:

Mahershala Ali, Moonlight

Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
Hugh Grant, Florence Foster Jenkins
Steve Martin, Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk

Liam Neeson, Silence

Changes: Replaced Adepo, Beatty and Mendelsohn with Ali, Bridges and Grant

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:

Naomie Harris, Moonlight

Nicole Kidman, Lion
Aja Naomi King, The Birth of a Nation

Kristen Stewart, Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk

Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea

Changes: Replaced Weisz with Kidman

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:

Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk

Fences
Lion

Nocturnal Animals

Silence

Changes: Replaced The Light Between Oceans with Lion

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:

La La Land

Loving

Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight
20th Century Women

Changes: Replaced The Lobster with Moonlight

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN:

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
La La Land

Passengers

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Silence

Changes: None

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY:

Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk

La La Land

Moonlight
Passengers

Silence

Changes: Replaced The Birth of a Nation and The Lost City of Z with La La Land and Moonlight

BEST COSTUME DESIGN:

Café Society
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

La La Land

Love & Friendship

Silence

Changes: Replaced Hail, Caesar! with Café Society

BEST FILM EDITING:

Arrival
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk

La La Land

Passengers

Silence

Changes: Replaced The Birth of a Nation with Arrival 

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE:

Arrival
The BFG

Finding Dory

The Light Between Oceans

Silence

Changes: None

BEST ORIGINAL SONG:

La La Land

Moana
Sing Street
Trolls
Zootopia

Changes: Replaced Sing Street with Zootopia

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING:

Silence

Star Trek Beyond

Suicide Squad

Changes: None

BEST SOUND MIXING:

Arrival
Jason Bourne

La La Land

Passengers

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Changes: None

BEST SOUND EDITING:

Arrival
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk

Deepwater Horizon

Jason Bourne

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Changes: None

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS:

Arrival
The BFG

The Jungle Book

Passengers

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Changes: None

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM:

Finding Dory

Kubo and the Two Strings

Moana

The Red Turtle

Zootopia

Changes: None