July Oscar Predictions

How much will La La Land charm Oscar voters?

I've made a few changes since last month, but this update is basically just a formality until Oscar season really kicks off.

BEST PICTURE:

Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk

The Birth of a Nation

Fences

La La Land

The Light Between Oceans

Loving

Manchester by the Sea

Passengers

Silence

Changes: None

BEST DIRECTOR:

Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Ang Lee, Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk

Jeff Nichols, Loving

Nate Parker, The Birth of a Nation

Martin Scorsese, Silence

Changes: Replaced Washington with Chazelle

BEST ACTOR:

Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea

Joel Edgerton, Loving

Woody Harrelson, Wilson

Michael Keaton, The Founder

Denzel Washington, Fences

Changes: Replaced Garfield with Harrelson

BEST ACTRESS:

Annette Bening, 20th Century Women
Viola Davis, Fences

Ruth Negga, Loving

Emma Stone, La La Land

Alicia Vikander, The Light Between Oceans

Changes: Replaced Huppert with Bening

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:

Jovan Adepo, Fences

Warren Beatty, Rules Don't Apply
Steve Martin, Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk

Ben Mendelsohn, Una
Liam Neeson, Silence

Changes: None

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:

Naomie Harris, Moonlight

Aja Naomi King, The Birth of a Nation

Kristen Stewart, Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk

Rachel Weisz, The Light Between Oceans

Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea

Changes: None

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:

Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk

Fences

The Light Between Oceans

Nocturnal Animals

Silence

Changes: None

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:

La La Land

The Lobster
Loving

Manchester by the Sea
20th Century Women

Changes: Replaced The Birth of a Nation with 20th Century Women

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN:

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
La La Land

Passengers

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Silence

Changes: Replaced Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children with La La Land

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY:

Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk

The Birth of a Nation

The Lost City of Z

Passengers

Silence

Changes: None

BEST COSTUME DESIGN:

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

Hail, Caesar!
La La Land

Love & Friendship

Silence

Changes: Replaced Alice Through the Looking Glass with Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

BEST FILM EDITING:

Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk

The Birth of a Nation

La La Land

Passengers

Silence

Changes: None

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE:

Arrival
The BFG

Finding Dory

The Light Between Oceans

Silence

Changes: Replaced The Birth of a Nation with Arrival

BEST ORIGINAL SONG:

La La Land

Moana
Sing Street
Sing Street

Trolls

Changes: None

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING:

Silence

Star Trek Beyond

Suicide Squad

Changes: None

BEST SOUND MIXING:

Arrival
Jason Bourne

La La Land

Passengers

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Changes: Replaced Silence with Arrival

BEST SOUND EDITING:

Arrival
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk

Deepwater Horizon

Jason Bourne

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Changes: Replaced Finding Dory with Arrival

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS:

Arrival
The BFG

The Jungle Book

Passengers

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Changes: Replaced Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them with Arrival

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM:

Finding Dory

Kubo and the Two Strings

Moana

The Red Turtle

Zootopia

Changes: None