Monday, May 23, 2016

May Oscar Predictions

Loving remains a strong contender.

Since it's so early in the year, my predictions haven't changed much since last month, but I've made a few changes. Check them out below.

BEST PICTURE:
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
The Birth of a Nation
Fences
La La Land
The Light Between Oceans
Loving
Manchester by the Sea
Passengers
Silence

Changes: None

BEST DIRECTOR:
Ang Lee, Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Jeff Nichols, Loving
Nate Parker, The Birth of a Nation
Martin Scorsese, Silence
Denzel Washington, Fences

Changes: None

BEST ACTOR:
Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
Joel Edgerton, Loving
Andrew Garfield, Silence
Michael Keaton, The Founder
Denzel Washington, Fences

Changes: None

BEST ACTRESS:
Viola Davis, Fences
Isabelle Huppert, Things to Come
Ruth Negga, Loving
Emma Stone, La La Land
Alicia Vikander, The Light Between Oceans

Changes: Replaced Bening with Huppert

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Jovan Adepo, Fences
Armie Hammer, The Birth of a Nation
Oscar Isaac, The Promise
Steve Martin, Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Liam Neeson, Silence

Changes: None

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
Naomie Harris, Moonlight
Aja Naomi King, The Birth of a Nation
Kristen Stewart, Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Rachel Weisz, The Light Between Oceans
Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea

Changes: None

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Fences
The Light Between Oceans
Nocturnal Animals
Silence

Changes: None

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
American Honey
The Birth of a Nation
La La Land
Loving
Manchester by the Sea

Changes: Replaced Zootopia with American Honey

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN:
Alice Through the Looking Glass
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Passengers
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
Silence

Changes: Replaced La La Land with Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY:
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
The Birth of a Nation
The Lost City of Z
Passengers
Silence

Changes: None

BEST COSTUME DESIGN:
Alice Through the Looking Glass
Hail, Caesar!
Love & Friendship
Silence
The Zookeeper’s Wife

Changes: Replaced La La Land with Love & Friendship

BEST FILM EDITING:
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
The Birth of a Nation
La La Land
Passengers
Silence

Changes: None

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE:
The BFG
The Birth of a Nation
The Light Between Oceans
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
Silence

Changes: Replaced Finding Dory with The Birth of a Nation

BEST ORIGINAL SONG:
David Brent: Life on the Road
Finding Dory
La La Land
Sing Street
Trolls

Changes: Replaced Moana and Zootopia with Finding Dory and Trolls

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING:
Alice Through the Looking Glass
Silence
Suicide Squad

Changes: None

BEST SOUND MIXING:
Jason Bourne
La La Land
Passengers
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
Silence

Changes: None

BEST SOUND EDITING:
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Deepwater Horizon
Finding Dory
Jason Bourne
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Changes: None

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS:
The BFG
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
The Jungle Book
Passengers
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Changes: None

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM:
Finding Dory
Kubo and the Two Strings
Moana
The Red Turtle
Zootopia

Changes: Replaced The Secret Life of Pets with The Red Turtle

8 comments:

  1. American Honey getting a Screenplay nod would be so awesome!

    Also, our Best Supporting Actor predictions are the same except I have Ben Mendelsohn instead of Jovan Adepo.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. American Honey feels like a film the writers' branch could go for, though it might not be an Academy type of film.

      I'm not convinced Mendelsohn will happen, but I'd LOVE it!

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  2. Have any of these been released yet?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Most of them haven't. Only a few, like Love & Friendship, Zootopia, and Hail, Caesar!.

      Delete
  3. I see you looked up The Red Turtle!

    I have a feeling it could contend for Score as well. SPC picked it up after RAVES at Cannes and I bet they'll go full throttle. From what I can see, looks like it had the best reviews of any film there, outside of maybe the Ade, and nearly every review mentions the score being instrumental. It's a silent film, so think The Artist and how important that score was.

    It could...win.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Ehh...I'm not sure on Score. Sylvain Chomet failed to get one for The Illusionist, which was a similar scenario. :/

      Delete
  4. This year's line-up of Oscar hopefuls actually strikes me as kinda...underwhelming on paper. Like, I can't say I'm actually excited for any of these films apart from Silence and Manchester By the Sea.

    David Michod's War Machine and Denis Villeueve's Story of My Life are two films I'm actually really excited for which I hope are Oscar contenders. Ben Affleck's Live By Night could be a major contender too, for me. Since the studio moved it's release date to January which could mean an Oscar qualifying run.

    Denzel Washington for Best Director seems like a long-shot to me since Fences is going to be directed more like a stage play, plus, I'm not sure he can nab both Acting and Directing noms.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Silence and Manchester by the Sea are high on most anticipated list. Fences, La La Land and Loving could be brilliant, though I'm trying to keep my expectations down.

      I'm not convinced that War Machine and Arrival (formerly Story of My Life) will be Oscar contenders, but I'm also looking forward to them. Not sure what to make of Live By Night. I love Affleck's previous directorial work, though.

      Fences seems like one of those films that could be in the top 5 for Best Picture. If the Academy really loves it, I think he could sneak in, like Tyldum for The Imitation Game and Daldry for The Reader.

      Delete